Stupendous-Aside
0x5917d88fed8b2e3951800d4e523123669aadc881
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-720.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?
1010 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-707.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will England win on 2026-03-31?
7 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YU-HSIOU HSU
Jiujiang: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Rio Noguchi
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
5 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78,000 on February 2?
4 shares @ 77.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$1.29Jul 2, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$3.23Jul 1, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$6.10Jun 17, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$2.13Jun 17, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$1.04Jun 11, 05:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?$5.98Jun 1, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2?$1.06Jun 1, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?$3.15May 23, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?$0.00May 15, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$3.72May 15, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?$4.08May 15, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYJiujiang: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Rio Noguchi$3.37Apr 29, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. Wizards$5.10Apr 25, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07?$5.30Apr 25, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-04-25?$3.28Apr 25, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Wizards$3.60Apr 9, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-07?$3.50Apr 7, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on April 2?$6.01Apr 4, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,000 on April 2?$3.89Apr 2, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-03-31?$4.20Mar 31, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $242.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 06:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 2, 14:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.