Piercing-Backyard
0x591de8447ceebf40b22cf0862d0d102978f18c39
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.74
Total PnL
$-196.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
50 shares @ 29.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.74
$-13.26
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
5985 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
4561 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
4167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
1694 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 10, 5AM ET
1553 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 20?
1103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-11.20
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
828 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
167 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?
117 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 10, 5AM ET$3.38Dec 10, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 10?$21.00Dec 10, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 20?$11.20Dec 9, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$25.00Dec 9, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$15.00Dec 9, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$25.00Dec 9, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$25.00Dec 9, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$15.00Dec 9, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$18.00Dec 9, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$20.00Dec 9, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$20.00Dec 9, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $18.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 10:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".