Untried-Physical
0x59323c79ea31c574b83329424af350e1f87ee981
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$12.20
Total PnL
$-58.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$6.90
$4.90
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-2.21
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 54.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.48
$-1.52
- YES
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.03
$-4.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 December 22-28?
93 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 4?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 3?
45 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 3?
43 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?
38 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?
34 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?$5.00Feb 1, 00:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$22.27Jan 31, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$9.99Jan 31, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$33.02Jan 31, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?$2.00Jan 19, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?$4.00Jan 19, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$11.11Jan 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$11.58Jan 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$13.75Jan 13, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 7?$8.33Jan 8, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 8?$2.00Jan 7, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 8?$2.00Jan 7, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 7?$2.00Jan 6, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 7?$2.00Jan 6, 17:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$5.44Jan 6, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 4?$1.00Jan 3, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?$3.00Jan 3, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?$1.00Jan 2, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 3?$1.50Jan 2, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 3?$1.00Jan 2, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 00:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.