Unhappy-Topsail
0x5935e6d007ba0cfab599e15b0598d96a342c6ff2
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$175.43
Total PnL
$-2.21
Realised
$0.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
52 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.31
$0.18
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 97.1¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
53 shares @ 94.3¢·now 86.9¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$46.03
$-3.95
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
30 shares @ 95.2¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$29.27
$0.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?$12.58Jul 29, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?$9.87Jul 29, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?$50.13Jul 29, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$6.27Jul 29, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$8.10Jul 29, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$6.65Jul 29, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.01Jul 29, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.85Jul 29, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.30Jul 29, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.98Jul 28, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.01Jul 28, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.19Jul 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.92Jul 28, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.46Jul 28, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.26Jul 28, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$11.45Jul 27, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?$53.00Jul 27, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?$49.98Jun 29, 16:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?$51.36Jun 12, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$11.01Jun 10, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $29.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 23:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.