Stable-Towtruck
0x59370ef8292f5c942740a5474c8c3f779d7c5961
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$156.67
Total PnL
$-353.50
Realised
$-28.38
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
157 shares @ 63.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$156.67
$56.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET
1209 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET
407 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-08-14?
156 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3PM ET
37 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$101.81Aug 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-08-14?$101.80Aug 14, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET$1.05May 25, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9AM ET$11.80May 21, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET$0.00May 21, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET$43.34May 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET$9.31May 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET$1.73May 20, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3PM ET$19.64May 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET$30.67May 20, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2PM ET$19.24May 20, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET$13.43May 20, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10AM ET$62.14May 20, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET$35.12May 19, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET$26.21May 19, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET$104.15May 19, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET$113.16May 19, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET$17.96May 19, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10AM ET$102.63May 19, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7PM ET$156.63May 18, 23:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
25/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $78.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 19:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.