Left-Village
0x593716b79fb30a506250753822a97b487077ae8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$2.42
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 16?
2835 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-56.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 24?
2369 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4?
934 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-107.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on May 12?
908 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 6?
889 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on July 5?
734 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 19?
620 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 19?
350 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 9?
306 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 13?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?$70.02Jul 16, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16?$11.45Jul 16, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 16?$46.80Jul 16, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?$98.51Jul 16, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 16?$45.05Jul 16, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 16?$2.08Jul 16, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?$31.50Jul 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?$32.68Jul 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 16?$2.10Jul 16, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 16?$2.08Jul 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16?$10.37Jul 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 16?$86.59Jul 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 16?$2.10Jul 16, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 16?$2.10Jul 16, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 11?$83.00Jul 11, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 11?$10.43Jul 11, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 11?$83.73Jul 11, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 11?$7.30Jul 11, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on July 11?$13.80Jul 11, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 11?$30.72Jul 11, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $18.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 23:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.