Ajar-Schoolhouse-Marketing
0x593ef199e8992beb6662ab2d08a53360a4a62f85
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$184.82
Total PnL
$-80.09
Realised
$-2.42
Win rate
4%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?
51 shares @ 30.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$20.27
$4.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 15?
35 shares @ 25.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$11.63
$2.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on August 15?
41 shares @ 24.1¢·now 26.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$10.56
$0.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 15?
27 shares @ 33.3¢·now 38.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$10.26
$1.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 15?
21 shares @ 39.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$9.58
$1.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?
12 shares @ 52.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$8.47
$2.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?
24 shares @ 25.5¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$6.94
$0.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 15?
13 shares @ 45.5¢·now 51.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$6.73
$0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 15?
12 shares @ 47.5¢·now 52.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$6.42
$0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 15?
13 shares @ 38.2¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$6.41
$1.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 15?$1.05Aug 14, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 15?$1.03Aug 14, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 15?$1.04Aug 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 15?$2.07Aug 14, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 15?$3.11Aug 14, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 14?$8.39Aug 14, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?$1.05Aug 14, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 14?$1.00Aug 14, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?$1.04Aug 14, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 15?$1.03Aug 14, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?$1.05Aug 14, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 15?$3.09Aug 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 14?$0.00Aug 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 15?$3.09Aug 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 15?$1.20Aug 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 14?$6.60Aug 14, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 16?$1.05Aug 14, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?$2.08Aug 14, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 14?$4.86Aug 14, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?$3.13Aug 14, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 22:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.