Enchanting-Macaw
0x59427d0b21742e1237437a71d1e0615814e23e21
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-850.29
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
79%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?
2877 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-621.13
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 13?
1680 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-273.86
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 5?
1440 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-119.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 28?
1440 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-121.95
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 15?
960 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-169.33
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 2?
960 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-98.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 26?
864 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-141.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 13?
768 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-59.89
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 4?
768 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-54.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 12?
768 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-11.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$213.00Mar 18, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$383.21Mar 18, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$207.00Mar 15, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$396.00Mar 15, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$31.20Mar 10, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$0.71Mar 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$4.57Mar 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$13.20Mar 10, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$24.75Mar 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$5.50Mar 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$89.75Mar 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$4.76Mar 10, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$33.00Mar 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$60.72Mar 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$33.00Mar 10, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$6.60Mar 10, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$31.01Mar 10, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$19.00Mar 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$45.22Mar 10, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 10?$0.90Mar 10, 13:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $50.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 26, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 16:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.