Fussy-Expedition
0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$38.4K
Realised
$80.2K
Win rate
95%
161 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- BRAZIL
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
13969 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.1K
- YES
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
13516 shares @ 88.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.0K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on April 20?
13082 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-149.73
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on May 1?
7921 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-63.77
- YES
Will Finland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
7907 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 1?
6770 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on February 28?
6185 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 14?
5598 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 21?
5402 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-55.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 5?
5245 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$315.56Jul 22, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Hamarkameratene (-2.5)$16.79Jul 22, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 18?$0.25Jul 22, 05:58 UTC
- MERGEWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$562.76Jul 22, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$95.30Jul 22, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.06Jul 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.06Jul 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.06Jul 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.06Jul 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.06Jul 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$536.03Jul 22, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.06Jul 22, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.06Jul 22, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$3.47Jul 22, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$88.43Jul 22, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.22Jul 22, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.05Jul 22, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.10Jul 22, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.05Jul 22, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 22?$0.05Jul 22, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
95% win rate over 161 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
161 closed markets, 95% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $28.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 23:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 161 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.