Adolescent-Coffee
0x59554716dc24933d0258105552b62617e2d5c4d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-626.55
Realised
$-32.45
Win rate
0%
69 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 28?
2535 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 28?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?
608 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on May 28?
586 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 23?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?
352 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 23?
330 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or higher on May 22?
305 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 21?
286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 23?
268 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 28?$10.45May 28, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on May 28?$7.86May 28, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on May 28?$5.25May 28, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 28?$5.25May 28, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 28?$5.25May 28, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 28?$5.25May 28, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 28?$5.24May 28, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$0.00May 28, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$9.16May 28, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$8.79May 28, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$9.42May 28, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 28?$9.41May 28, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 28?$10.47May 28, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 28?$10.47May 28, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?$10.45May 28, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 23?$1.05May 22, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 23?$1.05May 22, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 23?$3.15May 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 23?$2.10May 22, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 23?$1.05May 22, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 69 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
69 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $6.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 02:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 69 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.