Favorite-Signal
0x595bb32c0055139c3347e2788933ef14e83e8b54
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
139
Open notional
$26.10
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$7.13
Win rate
100%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 139- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.65
$0.45
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 54.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.71
$-0.25
- YES
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.08
$-0.43
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 8AM ET
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 23, 1PM ET
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 4AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
985 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2AM ET
753 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$6.25Jul 21, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$5.07Jul 21, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.02Jul 21, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Jul 21, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$39.77Jul 21, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$4.34Jul 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$13.65Jul 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$18.20Jul 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?$3.56Jul 21, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?$5.57Jul 21, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$10.67Jul 21, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.00Jul 18, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.32Jul 18, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.02Jul 18, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Jul 18, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$9.09Jul 18, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.06Jul 18, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$0.00Jul 18, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$1.35Jul 18, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 06:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.