Failing-Dancing
0x5961f1cce95954f86bc856aea9922d3755645e4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
85
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$105.40
Win rate
93%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1143 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
615 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-28.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
484 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-94.76
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
476 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
301 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
249 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
244 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
237 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-54.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
236 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
234 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$77.96Mar 18, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$42.52Mar 18, 02:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$42.52Mar 18, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$61.21Mar 18, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$40.00Mar 18, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$30.00Mar 18, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$106.69Mar 18, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$100.00Mar 17, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$122.73Mar 17, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$100.00Mar 17, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$100.11Mar 17, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00Mar 17, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$150.00Mar 17, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$50.00Mar 17, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$50.00Mar 17, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$133.66Mar 17, 02:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$118.02Mar 17, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$100.00Mar 17, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$111.03Mar 17, 02:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $49.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 03:53 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.