Rectangular-Goodbye
0x596354f89833b49513aff85e7d7f72bdd7f1dff1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-982.74
Realised
$23.65
Win rate
64%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
1517 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
543 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?
297 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-48.69
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
225 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-69.78
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
168 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
142 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-37.74
- YES
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
120 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-40.20
- YES
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
77 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
75 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.49Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.35Jul 22, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.35Jul 22, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.35Jul 22, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.11Jul 22, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$10.02Jul 22, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$3.33Jul 22, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.06Jul 22, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.02Jul 22, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.09Jul 22, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.83Jul 22, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$5.06Jul 22, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$31.35Jul 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.03Jul 22, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.04Jul 22, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.02Jul 22, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.02Jul 22, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.02Jul 22, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.02Jul 22, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.02Jul 22, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
79/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
33 closed markets, 64% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.