Rash-Theory
0x596422bcdd897703b96f4f931961b181b79d35df
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$244.79
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$15.85
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 1?
90 shares @ 21.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$89.93
$70.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?
50 shares @ 26.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$45.25
$32.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?
70 shares @ 20.1¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$41.65
$27.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?
34 shares @ 30.9¢·now 46.9¢·exp May 1, 2026$15.75
$5.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 1?
29 shares @ 38.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$14.50
$3.47
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?
27 shares @ 34.5¢·now 39.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$10.53
$1.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 1?
57 shares @ 26.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$8.26
$-6.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 1?
57 shares @ 26.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$6.55
$-8.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?
39 shares @ 20.9¢·now 9.7¢·exp May 1, 2026$3.76
$-4.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on May 1?
57 shares @ 26.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$3.13
$-12.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?$2.303s ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?$0.507m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 1?$1.8517m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 1?$1.8517m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 1?$1.8517m ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 1?$11.9920m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$3.2726m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$0.4127m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?$5.8827m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?$4.1627m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 1?$4.0027m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$4.4836m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?$10.8940m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?$3.6840m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?$4.4840m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 1?$2.5457m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 1?$2.2757m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?$5.8859m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?$1.0159m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?$3.1959m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3h ago
- Last active
- 3s ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".