Shrill-Fold
0x59686141128448f103be06611e95d84bd39f1d08
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$82.74
Total PnL
$-163.26
Realised
$32.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
86 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$49.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
890 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.79
$2.22
- YES
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
30 shares @ 26.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.40
$3.60
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.57
$-17.43
- NO
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?
478 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.43
$-5.39
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
11 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.24
$-0.05
- YES
Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.57
$-2.92
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.41
$-4.59
- YES
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?$4.45May 30, 08:03 UTC
- REWARD$2.52May 30, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?$0.55May 29, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?$7.80May 29, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$9.66May 29, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$0.66May 29, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$0.04May 29, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$0.01May 29, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$1.19May 29, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?$36.70May 29, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?$0.10May 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?$1.56May 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?$1.00May 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?$0.25May 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?$0.58May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 61m and 67m?$3.01May 28, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?$1.46May 28, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?$1.96May 28, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$50.63May 28, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?$0.08May 28, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".