Outgoing-Sneakers
0x596f3a30e496a465b298a2c9809cc2b29fd4248a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$233.71
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-4.33
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 96.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$132.96
$-0.12
- NO
Will Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?
130 shares @ 84.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$100.75
$-8.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-93.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 12?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 10?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 15?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 13?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
599 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-545.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 26?
500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$49.18May 20, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$14.91May 20, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$26.25May 20, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$0.50May 20, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Recession" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?$18.47May 20, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$67.98May 20, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$59.46May 20, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$259.48May 20, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$5.79May 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$258.02May 20, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$63.10May 20, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$171.12May 20, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$239.53May 20, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan$16.98May 19, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$244.25May 19, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Ak Bars Kazan$9.48May 19, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$237.86May 19, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$240.00May 19, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$234.64May 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$219.64May 18, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $88.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 18:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".