Dimpled-Afterthought
0x597beecb7a7405da67163d7d680357a5e5e0a872
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-475.38
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?
5000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-750.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
3253 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-292.77
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
1500 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-261.50
- YES
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?
228 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-72.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
168 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-33.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
153 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-38.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
England to score first vs. DR Congo?
80 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
60 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
49 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.73
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.12Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.60Jul 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.46Jul 17, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$10.50Jul 17, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$13.08Jul 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$1.92Jul 17, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$6.00Jul 17, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$11.59Jul 17, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$2.27Jul 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$8.15Jul 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$5.56Jul 17, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3.36Jul 17, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$87.30Jul 17, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$7.46Jul 17, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$80.00Jul 17, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?$75.28Jul 15, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.54Jul 14, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.88Jul 14, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.74Jul 14, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$3.11Jul 14, 20:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.