Exotic-Armour
0x598931f8457bc915e888042db5d129fbc6654270
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$500.00Oct 18, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.5KOct 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$477.06Sep 26, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?$477.59Sep 26, 12:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?$219.91Jul 24, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?$42.00Jul 24, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden appoints a man as Secret Service Director?$481.44Jul 24, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$742.95Jul 24, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$665.00Jul 22, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$665.40Jul 22, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$977.73Jul 21, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7? $206.76Jul 21, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7? $300.00Jul 20, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLRFK Jr. Secret Service protection by Friday?$896.67Jul 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. Secret Service protection by Friday?$800.00Jul 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$974.30Jul 15, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$370.82Jul 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer announce presidential run before DNC?$369.88Jul 11, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer announce presidential run before DNC?$469.00Jul 10, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $597.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 18, 12:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.