Faint-Watchmaker
0x599299aabec7d2ef2d0f6a77d2676243c49040bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-25.95
Win rate
56%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-09?
1196 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-16.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
841 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-30.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
468 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-31.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
379 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
241 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-22.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
240 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-12.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
232 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
222 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
204 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
153 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-23.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$31.77Mar 6, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$31.78Mar 6, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$25.84Mar 5, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?$25.83Mar 4, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?$13.11Mar 4, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?$5.13Mar 4, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?$10.00Mar 4, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$4.83Mar 4, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?$4.69Mar 4, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?$1.26Mar 4, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?$5.00Mar 4, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$5.00Mar 4, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?$15.00Mar 4, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?$10.00Mar 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?$10.00Mar 4, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-04?$3.00Mar 4, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-04?$3.00Mar 4, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$2.00Mar 4, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$2.00Mar 4, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. FC København end in a draw?$22.90Jan 28, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $37.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 05:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".