Empty-Avenue
0x5999ebfa145490e0280dd246856a5b3605f7ae94
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-171.59
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
1838 shares @ 77.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$375.92
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
1053 shares @ 78.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$974.27
$153.17
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
927 shares @ 87.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$902.58
$92.78
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
667 shares @ 82.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$652.07
$101.51
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
2506 shares @ 61.7¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$363.40
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
342 shares @ 96.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$292.50
$-37.93
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
8465 shares @ 2.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$275.12
$27.28
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
1729 shares @ 61.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$95.08
$-966.40
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
108 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$74.74
$-2.18
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
2417 shares @ 38.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.13
$-887.28
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.01Jun 28, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.24Jun 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$0.04Jun 27, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$72.21Jun 27, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$0.04Jun 27, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 26, 2026?$162.87Jun 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$136.34Jun 27, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$4.3KJun 27, 06:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.75Jun 27, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$4.89Jun 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$2.02Jun 26, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$3.00Jun 26, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$6.00Jun 26, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?$238.42Jun 26, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released on June 26, 2026?$6.25Jun 26, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$29.53Jun 26, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.93Jun 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$256.49Jun 26, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?$236.41Jun 26, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$121.96Jun 26, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $439.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.