Empty-Avenue
0x5999ebfa145490e0280dd246856a5b3605f7ae94
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$390.64
Total PnL
$-6.7K
Realised
$240.81
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?
366 shares @ 90.8¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$340.38
$8.23
- YES
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
2645 shares @ 64.9¢·now 1.9¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$50.26
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
3672 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
2506 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1759 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-946.18
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
1729 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
708 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-184.35
- YES
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
524 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 25, 2026?
499 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$0.00
$-29.94
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
320 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?$333.38Aug 17, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$375.93Aug 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?$373.29Aug 12, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$25.46Aug 11, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$461.20Aug 11, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?$36.00Aug 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$414.59Aug 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?$22.34Aug 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?$34.20Aug 11, 12:54 UTC
- REWARD$1.01Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.31Aug 7, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$8.1KAug 6, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$4.75Aug 6, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$0.95Aug 6, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$57.00Aug 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$19.43Aug 6, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$12.88Aug 6, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$475.00Aug 6, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?$1.7KAug 6, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?$809.74Aug 5, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
26/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $478.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 06:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.