0x59c35c58b51714971f1f044f69d017e0c9ee882f
0x59c35c58b51714971f1f044f69d017e0c9ee882f
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-588.09
Realised
$236.10
Win rate
22%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
1576 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
1543 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-92.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 27?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 27?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 27?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
418 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.79
- PAIN
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
230 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-60.96
- CAVALIERS
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
174 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-66.12
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
152 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.22
- NO
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.05Jun 18, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5$1.53Jun 15, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$2.00Jun 15, 00:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$0.14Jun 9, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score$1.52Jun 9, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$0.21Jun 9, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$0.18Jun 9, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$1.51Jun 6, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Italy (-1.5)$1.54Jun 6, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMITF Lakewood: Tatum Evans vs Kristina Penickova$3.00Jun 6, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$0.21Jun 6, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.21Jun 6, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYGibraltar vs. Cayman Islands: Both Teams to Score$1.52Jun 6, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$1.53Jun 6, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.54Jun 6, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Ariane Carnelossi vs. Ketlen Souza (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$1.53Jun 6, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?$1.51Jun 6, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5$1.52Jun 6, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5$1.52Jun 6, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5$1.52Jun 6, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
36 closed markets, 22% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 03:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.