Classic-Transparency
0x59c7fd3c203ee9c6d5ee9a05863e80c2598f4ccc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$2.6K
Realised
$5.1K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50349 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-251.39
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14803 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-240.38
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12036 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-136.06
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7041 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-133.78
- NO
Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
3353 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-469.42
- YES
3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
2500 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-134.49
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2187 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-139.97
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
1350 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-284.98
- YES
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?
1250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Arizona rally?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2024$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.65Jul 7, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.40Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$451.48Jul 6, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$601.98Jul 6, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$640.85Jul 6, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.5KJul 6, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$103.90Jul 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.01Jul 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$487.00Jul 6, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jul 6, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35.00Jul 6, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 6, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$597.31Jul 6, 00:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.52Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.86Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.1KJul 5, 06:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $567.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 12:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.