Ill-Informed-Methodology
0x59d1d08c75a4c48aec37ff1b97a2ec51238f2bf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.54
Total PnL
$0.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?$1.03Oct 12, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?$1.05Oct 12, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Lebanon before November?$1.03Oct 12, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet less than 150 times October 11-18?$0.99Oct 12, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 150 times October 11-18?$1.02Oct 12, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $145 on October 18?$0.99Oct 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $145 on October 18?$1.01Oct 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?$1.01Oct 12, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump win Alaska by 6+ points?$1.07Oct 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Alaska by 6+ points?$1.08Oct 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump win Texas by 10+ points?$1.07Oct 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Texas by 10+ points?$1.09Oct 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala win New York by 10+ points?$1.04Oct 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala win New York by 10+ points?$1.07Oct 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$1.01Oct 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$1.03Oct 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala photographed with a gun before the election?$1.03Oct 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala photographed with a gun before the election?$1.06Oct 12, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$10.69Oct 12, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?$21.38Oct 12, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 10:27 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 12, 14:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".