Ajar-Meantime
0x59dbb7dbd20ac68051ae28ee2f6efbc4a028f9ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.23
Realised
$-4.86
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1330 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-86.43
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
284 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cole Palmer be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?
75 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$88.85Jul 2, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $17.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.