Definitive-Pantologist
0x59dd018556b41cc84d4c70a7c309d8fbac617cff
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
68
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-444.54
Realised
$-14.05
Win rate
0%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 14?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 21?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 2?
199 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-12.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on June 6?
146 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-13.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 12?
127 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on June 14?
100 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 27?
90 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 19?
83 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?
77 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 30°C or higher on June 29?$1.51Jun 28, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 30°C or higher on June 29?$1.41Jun 28, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?$5.90Jun 26, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?$13.89Jun 26, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?$2.91Jun 26, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?$2.91Jun 26, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 26?$6.55Jun 26, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 27?$5.22Jun 26, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 27?$3.75Jun 26, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 27?$3.33Jun 26, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?$24.25Jun 24, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 24?$3.77Jun 23, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?$2.92Jun 23, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 23?$0.52Jun 23, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 23?$5.00Jun 22, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 22?$7.59Jun 22, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 23?$6.26Jun 22, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 24?$5.74Jun 22, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 22?$3.64Jun 22, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 22?$2.15Jun 22, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
64 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 05:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.