0x59e2f08c4e90298fae99ee9dbffab83fc7b3696a
0x59e2f08c4e90298fae99ee9dbffab83fc7b3696a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-510.71
Realised
$-15.73
Win rate
0%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 16?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on August 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$5.27Aug 16, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$21.19Aug 16, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$20.97Aug 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$20.95Aug 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 16?$10.80Aug 16, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$17.24Aug 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$10.44Aug 16, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$10.39Aug 16, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on August 16?$1.08Aug 16, 07:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
35 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $21.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.