Overdue-Speaker
0x59e41ee2a527d8d564c66ec408e21f70e29c2e79
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$15.16
Total PnL
$-51.17
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 94.9¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.15
$0.12
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.02
$0.01
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.01
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 19?
3162 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 19?
2104 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 5?
1111 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 12?
1108 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 13?
1096 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 28?
1087 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$4.00Jun 30, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$5.01Jun 26, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 8?$2.13Jun 8, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 on May 28?$2.17May 29, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on May 21?$2.14May 21, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on May 13?$2.10May 13, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 11?$2.15May 12, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 8?$2.10May 9, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 5?$2.15May 6, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?$2.15May 2, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 28?$3.21Apr 28, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on April 23?$2.15Apr 23, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 on April 18?$1.05Apr 19, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?$2.15Apr 13, 06:48 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Apr 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 7?$1.07Apr 7, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.03Apr 4, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?$2.12Mar 31, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 28?$1.1KMar 29, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 28?$1.1KMar 28, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $307.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 09:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.