Frugal-Literate
0x59e8a2c46004629dbf91b8b97be48c4983d2a9a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-343.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
671 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
462 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?
350 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.69
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,150 Week of April 20 2026?
335 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.84
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13?
125 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
110 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
91 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
89 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
83 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$10.23Jul 6, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$20.46Jul 6, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$20.41Jul 6, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?$10.27Jul 4, 01:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$17.99Jul 3, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$10.18Jul 3, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$51.91Jul 3, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.84Jul 3, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMCristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$23.26Jul 3, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$34.19Jul 3, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$10.17Jul 2, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$20.25Jul 2, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$10.00Jul 2, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Ibrahim Mbaye: 1+ goals AND Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ goals AND Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goals AND Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$19.99Jul 1, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$20.47Jul 1, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win on 2026-06-17?$10.21Jun 17, 17:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $15.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.