Smoggy-Real
0x59efcf246070fcde80ade3d5bb18fd14b4da3210
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$10.36
Total PnL
$-27.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Switzerland join the Board of Peace?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
11 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-7.99
- YES
Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$2.14Feb 26, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$3.11Feb 26, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.04Feb 7, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.22Feb 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Feb 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Feb 7, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.11Feb 7, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Feb 7, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.94Feb 7, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Feb 7, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.02Feb 7, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.00Feb 7, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.24Feb 7, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.06Feb 7, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.00Feb 7, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.19Feb 7, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.24Feb 7, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Feb 7, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.78Feb 7, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.00Feb 7, 15:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.