Eager-Churn
0x59f9625bf3b97b915f0e835b93cba6b7adca3739
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-319.47
Realised
$-5.47
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- UNDER
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
230 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
217 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
187 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?
170 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- OVER
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)
74 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5) AND Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$99.99Jul 4, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$84.21Jul 3, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$40.63Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$51.10Jul 2, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$101.69Jul 2, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: England (-1.5)$96.25Jul 1, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$101.62Jul 1, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$50.66Jul 1, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5)$50.72Jul 1, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5) AND Spread: Norway (-1.5) AND Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$100.00Jun 30, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 AND Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?$199.99Jun 29, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMSouth Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5$219.30Jun 28, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5$25.32Jun 28, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5$101.29Jun 28, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$20.83Jun 28, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iraq win on 2026-06-26?$0.00Jun 28, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Timberwolves$0.00Jun 28, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 22?$0.00Jun 28, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Thunder$0.00Jun 28, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Jazz$0.00Jun 28, 01:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $109.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 10:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.