Sore-Standpoint
0x59faf303caba6332ef368720ea9aa928b8c5ad3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$49.35
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$199.90
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 5?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$199.90
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 5?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$199.90
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on July 5?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$199.90
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 5?
130 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$130.19
$0.07
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
185 shares @ 45.6¢·now 40.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$75.12
$-9.34
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$60.50
$12.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 5?
53 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$53.10
$0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9AM ET
30 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$29.98
$16.48
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
143 shares @ 16.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$9.31
$-13.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9AM ET$7.27Jul 5, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9AM ET$2.65Jul 5, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9AM ET$6.75Jul 5, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9AM ET$4.09Jul 5, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8AM ET$2.15Jul 5, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8AM ET$8.43Jul 5, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$5.00Jul 5, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.47Jul 5, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.40Jul 5, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 5, 6AM ET$5.13Jul 5, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6AM ET$5.40Jul 5, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.68Jul 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.08Jul 5, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3AM ET$30.00Jul 5, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Jul 5, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 5, 4AM ET$3.96Jul 5, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3AM ET$15.11Jul 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3AM ET$16.20Jul 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3AM ET$12.00Jul 5, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 5, 2AM ET$5.00Jul 5, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $20.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 13:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.