Interesting-Advantage
0x5a020bfb72f00791a111a1a41f8bbe7ee6d265ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.22
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- PORTUGAL
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
26 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.81
- UZBEKISTAN
Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)
24 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- YES
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half
23 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.79
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
21 shares @ 40.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.67
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
21 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.46
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
19 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.84
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-1.5)
17 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
- BRAZIL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
16 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$7.09Jul 15, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5$7.10Jul 14, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5$4.37Jul 14, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half$4.35Jul 14, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$8.97Jul 14, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$10.00Jul 14, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half$10.00Jul 14, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5)$4.99Jul 11, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: England O/U 1.5$4.99Jul 11, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$5.00Jul 11, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$18.17Jul 10, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5$8.68Jul 10, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5$5.00Jul 10, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5$4.99Jul 10, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$9.99Jul 10, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$15.98Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: France (-1.5)$11.11Jul 9, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-1.5)$5.00Jul 9, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$9.99Jul 9, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5)$7.64Jun 29, 21:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.