Dull-Favor
0x5a0a67a0ae42a349a5aa4a6e627b0ab4cc9010ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
54
Open notional
$35.86
Total PnL
$-489.39
Realised
$27.93
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.58
$0.58
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.38
$0.39
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
72 shares @ 13.8¢·now 12.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
294 shares @ 7.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.85
$-16.28
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
158 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.03
$-4.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K September 1–7?
800 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Solana reach $270 in September?
578 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-26.27
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120K September 1–7?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
384 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 15?
365 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.23May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.39May 20, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.34May 20, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.30May 20, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$10.38May 20, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$48.38May 20, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$11.13Apr 28, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House$8.45Apr 28, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 10, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?$10.00Apr 10, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?$10.00Apr 8, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?$10.00Apr 7, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 8?$10.00Apr 7, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8?$10.00Apr 7, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?$0.96Apr 7, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$0.00Apr 7, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$15.22Apr 7, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$10.00Apr 7, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$44.00Apr 7, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$10.00Mar 25, 14:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $12.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 19:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.