Pastel-Browser
0x5a0d97cb84e5a204bbe4025c6709cecb1565c6be
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$664.80
Realised
$517.37
Win rate
91%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
1343 shares @ 26.4¢·now 31.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$422.99
$68.95
- NO
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
460 shares @ 83.3¢·now 91.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$418.90
$35.59
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
484 shares @ 58.2¢·now 65.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$317.08
$35.49
- NO
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
300 shares @ 74.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$248.61
$25.59
- NO
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
264 shares @ 78.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$228.16
$20.73
- NO
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
184 shares @ 70.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$162.34
$31.59
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 13.8¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$127.49
$58.50
- NO
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
110 shares @ 92.4¢·now 92.9¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$102.17
$0.55
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
800 shares @ 7.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$100.00
$43.44
- NO
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
99 shares @ 80.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$91.02
$10.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$9.60Jul 29, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$12.34Jul 29, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$28.81Jul 29, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$25.00Jul 29, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$9.44Jul 29, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.59Jul 29, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$50.79Jul 29, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$7.20Jul 29, 12:00 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$6.30Jul 28, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$15.99Jul 28, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France pass a national budget by December 31?$31.86Jul 28, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.33Jul 28, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.03Jul 28, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jul 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France pass a national budget by December 31?$5.11Jul 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France pass a national budget by December 31?$16.56Jul 28, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.01Jul 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France pass a national budget by December 31?$18.13Jul 28, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France pass a national budget by December 31?$49.53Jul 28, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
91% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 21:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.