Elementary-Suppression
0x5a0e6f547128ce2171aa04d470f9b1f205340f19
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
126
Open notional
$3.00
Total PnL
$-517.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- NO
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- PITTSBURGH PIRATES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
7170 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.17
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
3620 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
- UNDER
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5
1090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- UNDER
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 2.5
159 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- OVER
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5
97 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.68
- NO
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
66 shares @ 67.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-44.35
- OVER
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
43 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-35.56
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
41 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5$1.11Jul 9, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5$1.11Jul 9, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMWimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini$6.34Jul 8, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini$1.10Jul 8, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini$1.10Jul 8, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini$1.10Jul 8, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini$1.10Jul 8, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$13.36Jul 8, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)$2.25Jul 8, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins$2.73Jul 8, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5$2.24Jul 8, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5$1.11Jul 8, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5$1.11Jul 8, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5$2.28Jul 8, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5$2.28Jul 8, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5$2.32Jul 8, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5$2.46Jul 8, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5$2.46Jul 8, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5$2.46Jul 8, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5$1.05Jul 8, 01:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.