Calculating-Mud
0x5a1199761f3b281073fdb363dc96fa57b93dbe4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
85
Open notional
$75.22
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
72 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$72.37
$17.37
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
116 shares @ 43.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.85
$-47.15
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
10592 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-64.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
1128 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
706 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
492 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
300 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
268 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.45
- YES
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
252 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
244 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$55.00May 23, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$50.00Apr 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$10.00Apr 7, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$20.00Apr 7, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$50.00Apr 7, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.00Apr 2, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.00Apr 2, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.00Apr 2, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$186.28Mar 26, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$5.00Mar 25, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$8.40Mar 25, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$50.57Mar 10, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$50.46Mar 10, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$11.00Mar 10, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Pakistan in March?$11.10Mar 10, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$3.00Mar 10, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$3.01Mar 10, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar strike Iran by March 31?$6.33Mar 8, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 7, 2026?$5.56Mar 8, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $14.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 16:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 07:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".