Electric-Turf
0x5a1296ec556095d16a9d36b4917b69ac0b3ec256
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?
4075 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
658 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
520 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
275 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.08Mar 11, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.99Mar 11, 05:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$1.73Mar 11, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?$1.00Mar 9, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 8, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?$1.70Mar 8, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$1.00Mar 8, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?$1.00Mar 7, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.00Mar 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?$1.00Mar 7, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?$1.00Mar 7, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 7, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$1.00Mar 7, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 4?$1.00Mar 7, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Rockets (-6.5)$1.92Mar 7, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 4?$1.00Mar 6, 23:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.02Mar 6, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Rockets (-6.5)$1.00Mar 6, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$1.00Mar 6, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1.00Mar 6, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.