Bustling-Wear
0x5a148fa8cb2a064539ee7fb0752681d8cf393ad7
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-338.38
Realised
$147.40
Win rate
39%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
1441 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-19.19
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?
1271 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.28
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.68
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
891 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Moonshot have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
830 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
738 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
659 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.48
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?
599 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
542 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
525 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.81
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$32.00Mar 29, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.08Mar 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.28Mar 29, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.00Mar 29, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.28Mar 29, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.39Mar 29, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.28Mar 29, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.22Mar 29, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.28Mar 29, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.31Mar 29, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.28Mar 29, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.24Mar 29, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.04Mar 29, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.26Mar 29, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.24Mar 29, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.29Mar 29, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.23Mar 29, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.00Mar 29, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.00Mar 29, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.00Mar 29, 07:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
39% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.