Assured-Consumption
0x5a15fa0134a1546e407acf9b8410c328bd970a60
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
169
Open notional
$1.59
Total PnL
$-47.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
1 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.10
$-0.10
- YES
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.10
$-0.10
- YES
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.10
$-0.10
- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will Andrew Tate post 640-669 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will Andrew Tate post 610-639 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.03Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.02Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.01Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.01Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.01Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.02Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.10Mar 20, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.00Mar 20, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 19, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.00Mar 19, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.00Mar 19, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 19, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.00Mar 19, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$1.00Mar 19, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.10Mar 19, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$155 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.09Mar 19, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.10Mar 19, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.07Mar 19, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.03Mar 19, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?$0.10Mar 18, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.