Lasting-Slippers
0x5a22e8806f391108a24d73a9892d23ab94798ace
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-629.61
Realised
$-12.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
625 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?
462 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
220 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Celsius say "Amazon" during earnings call?
100 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-96.00
- NO
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?
68 shares @ 90.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-61.58
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
63 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$95.30Nov 18, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?$0.35Nov 18, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?$26.33Nov 18, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?$53.95Nov 18, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?$3.00Nov 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$2.00Nov 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 11-17?$0.00Nov 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$20.00Nov 16, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria win on 2025-11-15?$40.20Nov 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.00Nov 15, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$2.00Nov 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2025-11-15?$40.00Nov 15, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?$200.00Nov 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?$100.00Nov 15, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?$100.00Nov 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?$100.00Nov 15, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?$100.00Nov 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?$15.56Nov 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?$72.00Nov 15, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$23.08Nov 15, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $63.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.