0x5a2e25f819a0aa1ac8b9a73fdc11841996de7fc6
0x5a2e25f819a0aa1ac8b9a73fdc11841996de7fc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$97.94
Total PnL
$-515.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$76.28
$1.29
- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3609 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.65
$-10.83
- YES
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair?
75000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2PM ET
34560 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-34.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 6?
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
22330 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-22.33
- YES
Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
21200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-21.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 2PM ET
18120 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.12
- YES
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?
13550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-27.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.