Tricky-Caution
0x5a31e821aeeef8cb26e57f08a91fc51265ef42a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tom Doshi be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fulham wins the Premier League?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?
360 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.00Jul 22, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Doshi be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?$1.00May 9, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFulham wins the Premier League?$1.00Feb 28, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$1.08Dec 29, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$324.00Dec 11, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?$324.00Dec 11, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?$561.00Dec 11, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?$561.00Dec 11, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?$442.90Dec 11, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?$442.90Dec 11, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $265.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 02:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.