0x5a33c155876969ba32e37b5c90d6534bdcf1308b
0x5a33c155876969ba32e37b5c90d6534bdcf1308b
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$872.79
Total PnL
$-751.38
Realised
$-66.38
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?
356 shares @ 90.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$356.46
$32.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?
249 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$248.48
$11.58
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?
184 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$184.12
$9.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 4?
39 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$39.10
$1.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 8?
39 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$39.06
$2.34
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
7 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.58
$0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 28?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 18?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 18?
462 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 19?
432 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?$79.177h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?$1.437h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?$19.437h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?$28.677h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?$47.627h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?$23.757h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 8?$36.8316h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 8?$37.3317h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$5.0918h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$14.8618h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$0.2818h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$30.9418h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$0.9018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$48.0418h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$39.6418h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$10.4918h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$22.8022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$26.3822h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$51.0322h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 8?$74.411d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $45.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 7h ago
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
