Past-Lender
0x5a3546c39a741767707beb2001d846dfe5dd78e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.89
Total PnL
$-94.73
Realised
$4.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$1.89
$0.93
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Iraq in March?
93 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
81 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.00Apr 11, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 1, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$3.00Apr 1, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.67Mar 11, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)$0.18Mar 8, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike no countries in March?$0.00Mar 7, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike one country in March?$0.00Mar 7, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike two countries in March?$0.00Mar 7, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike three countries in March?$0.00Mar 7, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike four countries in March?$0.00Mar 7, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike five countries in March?$0.00Mar 7, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike six countries in March?$0.00Mar 7, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike seven countries in March?$0.00Mar 7, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike eight countries in March?$0.00Mar 7, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.00Mar 7, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.03Mar 7, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Mar 6, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 09:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $8.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".