Muffled-Transmission
0x5a38e9118eb6b3174f9ba736aeba0beb8db92904
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$36.54
Total PnL
$-16.2K
Realised
$546.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- SUNS
Suns vs. Lakers
8 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$8.19
$5.49
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.02
$0.72
- NO
Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$5.62
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.55
$0.15
- NO
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.61
$0.01
- NO
Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$3.60
$0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
3 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.19
$0.19
- NO
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.77
$0.07
- TIGERS
Guardians vs. Tigers
31335 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-16.6K
- ORIOLES
Orioles vs. Red Sox
78 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-35.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flyers$2.94Dec 1, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jackets vs. Devils$4.72Dec 1, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Lakers$2.70Dec 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$4.40Dec 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$4.50Dec 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ralph Volcère win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?$4.93Dec 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story win the Emmy for Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series?$5.00Dec 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $180 on September 12?$5.00Dec 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$5.22Dec 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship?$5.73Dec 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill What We Do in the Shadows win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?$6.00Dec 1, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$16.67Dec 1, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5.30Nov 1, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$4.50Oct 1, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.70Sep 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$3.60Sep 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $180 on September 12?$5.00Sep 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$4.40Sep 12, 12:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?$1.00Sep 12, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bibisara Assaubayeva win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?$2.01Sep 12, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 14:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.