Ideal-Cinder
0x5a3a39173ffab8aee62859cb0f459123e4eaa92b
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$22.44
Total PnL
$-496.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
15 shares @ 72.4¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.44
$1.44
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$10.00
$5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
138 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-68.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
135 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-68.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
135 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-68.91
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
131 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-68.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
103 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
98 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
96 shares @ 51.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
93 shares @ 52.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-24?$0.00Jun 3, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$5.17Jun 3, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-24?$13.70Jun 3, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-24?$10.08May 24, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$9.26May 24, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$11.12May 23, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$5.06May 23, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5.16May 23, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMCervia: Gabi Boitan vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna$13.16May 23, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCervia: Gabi Boitan vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna$10.07May 18, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykova$5.05May 18, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.03May 18, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMClippers vs. Kings$15.05May 18, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 8, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Kings$13.00Apr 5, 10:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.02Feb 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$6.03Feb 12, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$7.23Feb 12, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$50.00Feb 12, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$94.07Feb 12, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $53.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".