Animated-Meeting
0x5a40325834de6c07c9ba5748d321aaae2b9167ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
90
Open notional
$269.35
Total PnL
$-279.82
Realised
$-6.29
Win rate
0%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 90- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$9.10
$0.40
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$9.10
$1.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$8.70
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$8.55
$0.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$8.50
$-0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$8.45
$0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$8.35
$-0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$8.35
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$8.35
$-0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 14?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$8.30
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 14?$2.70Aug 12, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 14?$4.30Aug 12, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 14?$4.25Aug 12, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 14?$7.40Aug 12, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 14?$7.89Aug 12, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 14?$7.20Aug 12, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 14?$7.69Aug 12, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 14?$6.71Aug 12, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?$6.81Aug 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?$8.66Aug 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 14?$7.79Aug 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 14?$8.18Aug 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 14?$7.79Aug 12, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 14?$8.37Aug 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?$7.89Aug 12, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 14?$8.85Aug 12, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?$7.69Aug 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 14?$3.99Aug 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 14?$7.89Aug 12, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 14?$7.79Aug 12, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 50 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
50 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 14:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.