Luminous-Cassock
0x5a449cc0b0830555908ae15f9b8574d7d1a25616
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$256.54
Total PnL
$9.52
Realised
$4.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
51 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$50.99
$0.09
- NO
Israeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?
52 shares @ 92.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$49.64
$1.38
- NO
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?
25 shares @ 86.6¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.37
$-1.28
- NO
Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?
20 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.00
$0.33
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
20 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$19.99
$0.82
- NO
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 86.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.97
$1.28
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 73.5¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.75
$-0.60
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.74
$0.34
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
5 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.99
$0.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?$5.00May 30, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?$1.03May 30, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$3.95May 30, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?$4.75May 30, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$105.00May 29, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Riasne by May 31, 2026?$4.99May 29, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$84.58May 29, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?$6.58May 29, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$9.94May 29, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$3.20May 29, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?$4.96May 29, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$9.83May 29, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Riasne by May 31, 2026?$4.69May 29, 05:48 UTC
- REWARD$1.38May 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?$18.20May 28, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?$17.20May 28, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$4.95May 28, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?$4.45May 28, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?$4.69May 28, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces enter Tyre by May 31?$14.10May 28, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $22.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 02:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".