Genuine-Kangaroo
0x5a4f7812843a44a624100a4257d5df84e5b7f83b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$117.34
Total PnL
$-99.35
Realised
$-1.38
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
120 shares @ 82.6¢·now 42.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$51.20
$-48.35
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 16?
39 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$35.66
$0.98
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 16?
33 shares @ 34.4¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$11.49
$0.03
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 16?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$11.16
$1.17
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 16?
32 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$7.83
$0.48
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 12?
35 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-13.48
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on August 14?
34 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.51
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 14?
32 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.31
- YES
Will Etsy (ETSY) beat quarterly earnings?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 22°C on August 14?$33.89Aug 15, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 13?$0.00Aug 14, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 13?$0.00Aug 14, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 16?$10.34Aug 14, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 16?$11.83Aug 14, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 16?$7.63Aug 14, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 16?$34.88Aug 14, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 13?$31.96Aug 14, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 13?$21.50Aug 13, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 13?$0.95Aug 13, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 13?$11.90Aug 13, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 13?$7.14Aug 13, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 12?$34.56Aug 12, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 12?$21.51Aug 12, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 9?$0.00Aug 12, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 10?$0.00Aug 12, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 10?$0.00Aug 12, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 11?$0.00Aug 12, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 11?$0.00Aug 12, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on August 14?$8.61Aug 12, 07:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $18.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.