Virtual-Ambulance
0x5a51cd50054800a701b148f5e8b166535d6c9818
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-126.78
Realised
$3.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
1050 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2025$0.00
$-11.99
- YES
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by September 30?
650 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his North Carolina speech?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?
110 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-11.35
- YES
Deshaun Watson suspended for personal misconduct?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump say "McDonald's" during his North Carolina speech?
100 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2024$0.00
$-15.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump say "million" 10+ times during his North Carolina speech?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before October?
90 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
Will Trump say "disabled" during Wisconsin speech October 1?
82 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-6.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.05Dec 1, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.50Dec 1, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.50Dec 1, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.05Dec 1, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.06Nov 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$1.01Nov 29, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.01Nov 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Nov 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.39Nov 18, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.01Nov 11, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.05Nov 1, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.03Oct 21, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.20Oct 21, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.20Oct 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.20Oct 21, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.02Oct 21, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.20Oct 21, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.00Oct 21, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.10Oct 21, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brock Bowers win NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$0.20Oct 21, 05:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 09:13 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.